Evaluating adaptation options through the elicitation of preferences

Context

Climate change is expected to impact the water system in many countries, leading to more extreme weather patterns, causing for example higher likelihoods of flooding, drought and heat waves and also increasing the severity of such occurrences.

Analysing trade-offs between development and adaptation

Context

Decisions about adaptation strategies necessarily involve assumptions about the future – both assumptions about factors that cannot be influenced by decisions makers (such as future climate change impacts), and factors that are under control of decision makers (such as spatial planning, which influences the value at risk from climate change). These assumptions are necessarily fraught with uncertainty, which makes it necessary to incorporate uncertainties into the decision making process in a transparent way.

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